Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002037 0.002164 0.002295 0.002440 0.002599 0.002766 0.002955
2025-05-04 0.001893 0.002076 0.002274 0.002505 0.002767 0.003057 0.003404
2025-05-11 0.001805 0.002030 0.002281 0.002584 0.002942 0.003354 0.003869
2025-05-18 0.001708 0.001959 0.002247 0.002605 0.003041 0.003560 0.004233
2025-05-25 0.001593 0.001856 0.002164 0.002555 0.003045 0.003644 0.004447
2025-06-01 0.001508 0.001781 0.002107 0.002529 0.003071 0.003751 0.004689
2025-06-08 0.001454 0.001740 0.002088 0.002547 0.003149 0.003925 0.005026
2025-06-15 0.001388 0.001679 0.002039 0.002522 0.003167 0.004017 0.005255
2025-06-22 0.001332 0.001629 0.001999 0.002505 0.003193 0.004118 0.005500
2025-06-29 0.001279 0.001578 0.001956 0.002481 0.003206 0.004200 0.005719
2025-07-06 0.001226 0.001525 0.001908 0.002445 0.003199 0.004253 0.005897
2025-07-13 0.001164 0.001458 0.001837 0.002376 0.003143 0.004229 0.005955
2025-07-20 0.001138 0.001439 0.001835 0.002406 0.003234 0.004435 0.006399
2025-07-27 0.001121 0.001433 0.001849 0.002459 0.003363 0.004707 0.006975
2025-08-03 0.001112 0.001437 0.001877 0.002533 0.003527 0.005044 0.007687
2025-08-10 0.001086 0.001416 0.001868 0.002553 0.003608 0.005256 0.008211
2025-08-17 0.001040 0.001366 0.001815 0.002504 0.003582 0.005291 0.008427
2025-08-24 0.001005 0.001328 0.001779 0.002479 0.003589 0.005382 0.008748
2025-08-31 0.000984 0.001311 0.001772 0.002496 0.003664 0.005590 0.009306
2025-09-07 0.000953 0.001277 0.001739 0.002472 0.003669 0.005678 0.009642
2025-09-14 0.000926 0.001249 0.001711 0.002455 0.003686 0.005786 0.010028
2025-09-21 0.000898 0.001218 0.001681 0.002431 0.003689 0.005870 0.010372
2025-09-28 0.000869 0.001185 0.001645 0.002396 0.003672 0.005914 0.010636